Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Hodgson 47.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 80.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 57.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 62.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Richards
Hodgson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
Hodgson
Last 6: Richards 5-1 Hodgson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
0
Richards
Hodgson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
0
1
Richards
Hodgson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Hodgson
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
46.4% (713)
+3.4%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
47.6% (210)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
47.8% (46)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgson shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Hodgson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Richards
Hodgson
Home
51.1% (532)
48.8% (490)
Away
48.3% (497)
44.7% (479)
By Period
Richards
Hodgson
P1
48.6%
46.6%
P2
51.0%
51.2%
P3
49.8%
42.4%
OT
43.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |