Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCormick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs McCormick 46.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.5%
Defensive zone
McCormick 61.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 57.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Richards
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richards
McCormick
Last 5: Richards 3-2 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
McCormick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Richards
McCormick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
McCormick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
45.8% (168)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
0.0% (1)
+53.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
41.4% (29)
-21.4%
On power play, Richards has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. McCormick is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Richards
McCormick
Home
51.1% (532)
44.7% (114)
Away
48.3% (497)
45.2% (84)
By Period
Richards
McCormick
P1
48.6%
46.9%
P2
51.0%
38.6%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |