Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Adams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Adams 46.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 89.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 75.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Richards
Adams
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Adams
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Adams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Adams
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Adams
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Adams
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Adams
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
51.2% (170)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
37.3% (118)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adams shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Richards
Adams
Home
52.2% (668)
45.8% (131)
Away
51.4% (648)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Richards
Adams
P1
50.1%
46.4%
P2
52.4%
48.2%
P3
52.9%
42.1%
OT
52.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |