Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Zubrus 44.5% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zubrus 58.2%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 67.0%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 63.1%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Richards
Zubrus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Richards
Zubrus
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Zubrus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
0
2
Richards
Zubrus
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
2
Richards
Zubrus
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Zubrus
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zubrus
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
42.0% (317)
+9.7%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
56.4% (55)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
37.5% (56)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zubrus shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Richards
Zubrus
Home
52.2% (668)
43.9% (237)
Away
51.4% (648)
42.6% (204)
By Period
Richards
Zubrus
P1
50.1%
49.6%
P2
52.4%
42.7%
P3
52.9%
38.1%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |