Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brière shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Brière 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 61.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 69.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Richards
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Brière
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
0
1
Richards
Brière
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Brière
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
47.8% (682)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
54.9% (133)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
50.0% (6)
+1.4%
On even strength, Richards has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Brière is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Richards
Brière
Home
52.2% (668)
49.9% (429)
Away
51.4% (648)
47.8% (402)
By Period
Richards
Brière
P1
50.1%
51.4%
P2
52.4%
46.1%
P3
52.9%
47.8%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |