Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brière shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Brière 49.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 65.8%
Defensive zone
Brière 55.1%
Neutral zone
Brière 51.3%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Richards
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richards
Brière
Last 5: Richards 3-2 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Brière
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Brière
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
0
1
Richards
Brière
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
49.7% (286)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
46.0% (63)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Brière is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Richards
Brière
Home
51.1% (532)
53.8% (158)
Away
48.3% (497)
44.8% (192)
By Period
Richards
Brière
P1
48.6%
52.1%
P2
51.0%
42.7%
P3
49.8%
52.1%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | OT | 01:22 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |