Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs MacKenzie 53.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 76.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 50.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 59.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Richards
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
MacKenzie
Last 6: Richards 2-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Richards
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Richards
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
55.1% (370)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
55.6% (9)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
49.0% (49)
+2.4%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Richards
MacKenzie
Home
52.2% (668)
56.1% (228)
Away
51.4% (648)
52.7% (201)
By Period
Richards
MacKenzie
P1
50.1%
53.4%
P2
52.4%
55.1%
P3
52.9%
53.9%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |