Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs MacKenzie 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 70.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 87.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 63.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Richards
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Richards
MacKenzie
Last 10: Richards 5-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
MacKenzie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Richards
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
55.8% (523)
-8.6%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
52.4% (21)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.9% (257)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Richards is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Richards shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Richards
MacKenzie
Home
52.0% (123)
54.4% (463)
Away
47.2% (127)
55.3% (338)
By Period
Richards
MacKenzie
P1
56.3%
54.2%
P2
42.0%
54.0%
P3
50.6%
56.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |