Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Roy 47.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 56.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Richards
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Richards
Roy
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
9
6
Richards
Roy
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
6
Richards
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Richards
Roy
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
46.4% (3,031)
+4.0%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
53.6% (560)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
46.8% (267)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Richards
Roy
Home
51.1% (2,671)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Richards
Roy
P1
49.6%
47.6%
P2
50.3%
46.2%
P3
51.0%
48.5%
OT
50.6%
43.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |