Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Roy 47.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 59.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 57.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 62.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Richards
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richards
Roy
Last 5: Richards 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Richards
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
43.9% (380)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
52.8% (106)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
55.3% (38)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Richards
Roy
Home
49.9% (527)
51.6% (283)
Away
51.4% (463)
40.4% (245)
By Period
Richards
Roy
P1
49.2%
47.8%
P2
50.7%
41.1%
P3
52.2%
49.7%
OT
45.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Derek Roy |