Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Roy 50.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 54.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Richards
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Richards
Roy
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Richards
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Richards
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Richards
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
50.3% (1,010)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
53.3% (169)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
51.1% (133)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Richards
Roy
Home
52.2% (668)
52.4% (683)
Away
51.4% (648)
48.6% (646)
By Period
Richards
Roy
P1
50.1%
48.3%
P2
52.4%
49.5%
P3
52.9%
53.9%
OT
52.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |