Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Malkin 42.3% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 50.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Richards
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Malkin
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Richards
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
3
Richards
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
38.1% (176)
+13.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
50.0% (18)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Malkin is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Richards
Malkin
Home
49.9% (527)
38.0% (100)
Away
51.4% (463)
39.0% (100)
By Period
Richards
Malkin
P1
49.2%
39.5%
P2
50.7%
35.6%
P3
52.2%
41.3%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |