Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Malkin 49.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 72.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Richards
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Malkin
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
48.2% (612)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
80.0% (5)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
100.0% (4)
-80.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Richards
Malkin
Home
51.1% (532)
53.4% (305)
Away
48.3% (497)
44.3% (316)
By Period
Richards
Malkin
P1
48.6%
45.6%
P2
51.0%
46.6%
P3
49.8%
54.7%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |