Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Josefson 48.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 74.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 74.2%
Neutral zone
Josefson 53.2%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Richards
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Richards
Josefson
Last 9: Richards 4-5 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Josefson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
4
Richards
Josefson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
50.6% (178)
+0.4%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
53.8% (13)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
37.8% (45)
+3.9%
On power play, Josefson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Richards is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Richards shoots left. Josefson is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Richards
Josefson
Home
51.9% (397)
50.0% (120)
Away
49.2% (376)
46.6% (116)
By Period
Richards
Josefson
P1
47.1%
46.4%
P2
54.2%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
48.8%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Brad Richards |