Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Benn 52.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 59.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.0%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Richards
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Benn
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Richards
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Richards
Benn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
52.7% (505)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
53.1% (245)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
53.6% (28)
-33.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Richards
Benn
Home
51.1% (532)
55.5% (398)
Away
48.3% (497)
50.0% (380)
By Period
Richards
Benn
P1
48.6%
50.2%
P2
51.0%
56.3%
P3
49.8%
52.1%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |