Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.3%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Iginla shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Iginla 50.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 50.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 57.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Richards
Iginla
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Richards
Iginla
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Iginla
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
0
1
Richards
Iginla
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Iginla
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
51.1% (994)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
49.7% (366)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
33.3% (36)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Iginla shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Home / Away
Richards
Iginla
Home
51.1% (2,671)
54.6% (694)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.1% (709)
By Period
Richards
Iginla
P1
49.6%
52.9%
P2
50.3%
47.6%
P3
51.0%
51.7%
OT
50.6%
34.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Brad Richards |