Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 45-37 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 58.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 60.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Richards
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
37
(82 meetings)
45
37
Richards
Spezza
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
17
6
Richards
Spezza
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
11
10
Richards
Spezza
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
21
Richards
Spezza
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
54.4% (7,990)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
56.8% (1,726)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
52.7% (643)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Richards
Spezza
Home
51.1% (2,671)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Richards
Spezza
P1
49.6%
55.7%
P2
50.3%
54.4%
P3
51.0%
54.1%
OT
50.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Brad Richards |