Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Spezza 53.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 80.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Richards
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Richards
Spezza
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
6
0
Richards
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
4
Richards
Spezza
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
5
Richards
Spezza
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
53.9% (1,097)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
54.8% (250)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
52.8% (89)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Richards
Spezza
Home
51.1% (532)
55.8% (695)
Away
48.3% (497)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Richards
Spezza
P1
48.6%
50.3%
P2
51.0%
54.7%
P3
49.8%
56.0%
OT
43.8%
73.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |