Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — O'Brien shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs O'Brien 47.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 92.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 52.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 63.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Richards
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Richards
O'Brien
Last 8: Richards 7-1 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
O'Brien
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
O'Brien
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
O'Brien
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
48.8% (451)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
62.5% (8)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
41.8% (141)
-0.5%
On power play, O'Brien has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Richards
O'Brien
Home
51.1% (2,671)
47.1% (274)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
47.3% (330)
By Period
Richards
O'Brien
P1
49.6%
47.2%
P2
50.3%
49.8%
P3
51.0%
43.6%
OT
50.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |