Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Mitchell 49.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 79.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 81.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Richards
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
Mitchell
Last 5: Richards 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Richards
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Richards
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
52.5% (676)
-5.3%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
55.6% (18)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.3% (155)
+67.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +67.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Richards is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Richards shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Richards
Mitchell
Home
52.0% (123)
52.2% (450)
Away
47.2% (127)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Richards
Mitchell
P1
56.3%
51.2%
P2
42.0%
50.2%
P3
50.6%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |