Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Jokinen 52.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 52.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.2%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Richards
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richards
Jokinen
Last 6: Richards 3-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Richards
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
52.1% (267)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
69.2% (26)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (6)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Jokinen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Richards
Jokinen
Home
51.1% (532)
60.0% (175)
Away
48.3% (497)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Richards
Jokinen
P1
48.6%
49.4%
P2
51.0%
56.6%
P3
49.8%
54.3%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Brad Richards |