Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.7%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Turris 50.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 59.0%
Defensive zone
Turris 83.2%
Neutral zone
Turris 73.5%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Richards
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
Turris
Last 6: Richards 5-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Richards
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
49.5% (1,083)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
55.1% (156)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
53.7% (190)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Richards
Turris
Home
51.1% (532)
53.6% (703)
Away
48.3% (497)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Richards
Turris
P1
48.6%
54.3%
P2
51.0%
48.3%
P3
49.8%
49.1%
OT
43.8%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brad Richards |