Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Goc 53.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 59.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 92.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 72.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Richards
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Richards
Goc
Last 9: Richards 6-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
54.5% (512)
-5.5%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
65.0% (20)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
52.3% (153)
-12.3%
On power play, Goc has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Richards
Goc
Home
49.8% (424)
57.2% (383)
Away
46.9% (401)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Richards
Goc
P1
51.3%
53.9%
P2
44.8%
51.2%
P3
49.2%
58.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |