Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Erat 47.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 66.2%
Defensive zone
Erat 63.5%
Neutral zone
Erat 55.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Richards
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
Erat
Last 5: Richards 2-3 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
Richards
Erat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Erat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
44.4% (180)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
44.4% (18)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
60.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Erat is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Richards
Erat
Home
51.1% (532)
51.9% (129)
Away
48.3% (497)
35.7% (84)
By Period
Richards
Erat
P1
48.6%
44.4%
P2
51.0%
45.9%
P3
49.8%
47.2%
OT
43.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Brad Richards |