Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Reasoner 52.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.0%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 74.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 53.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Richards
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Reasoner
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Richards
Reasoner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
55.2% (475)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
45.5% (11)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
42.9% (84)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Reasoner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Richards
Reasoner
Home
52.2% (668)
54.8% (263)
Away
51.4% (648)
51.5% (309)
By Period
Richards
Reasoner
P1
50.1%
55.7%
P2
52.4%
47.8%
P3
52.9%
54.9%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |