Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 75.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 74.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 75.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Richards
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
23
(35 meetings)
12
23
Richards
Duchene
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
6
2
Richards
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
12
Richards
Duchene
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
9
Richards
Duchene
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.5%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
56.9% (1,665)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
49.1% (468)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Richards
Duchene
Home
51.1% (2,671)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Richards
Duchene
P1
49.6%
54.5%
P2
50.3%
54.5%
P3
51.0%
53.4%
OT
50.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |