Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Hendricks 52.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 58.8%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Richards
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Hendricks
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Hendricks
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Richards
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
54.9% (233)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
80.0% (5)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
38.5% (26)
+12.9%
On power play, Hendricks has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Hendricks is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Richards
Hendricks
Home
52.2% (668)
52.8% (142)
Away
51.4% (648)
54.5% (123)
By Period
Richards
Hendricks
P1
50.1%
64.9%
P2
52.4%
48.6%
P3
52.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |