Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Talbot 45.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 59.3%
Defensive zone
Talbot 82.7%
Neutral zone
Talbot 60.2%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Richards
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Richards
Talbot
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Talbot
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
3
Richards
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
45.1% (450)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
50.0% (20)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
40.5% (163)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Richards
Talbot
Home
52.2% (668)
47.8% (295)
Away
51.4% (648)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Richards
Talbot
P1
50.1%
47.0%
P2
52.4%
41.5%
P3
52.9%
44.5%
OT
52.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Max Talbot |