Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Frolik 44.7% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 50.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 52.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Richards
Frolik
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richards
Frolik
Last 6: Richards 3-3 Frolik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
0
1
Richards
Frolik
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
0
1
Richards
Frolik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Frolik
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Frolik
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
41.3% (109)
+10.0%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
30.0% (10)
+20.7%
On power play, Richards has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frolik shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Frolik is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Richards
Frolik
Home
49.9% (527)
44.4% (63)
Away
51.4% (463)
35.7% (56)
By Period
Richards
Frolik
P1
49.2%
40.0%
P2
50.7%
43.5%
P3
52.2%
36.1%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brad Richards |