Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Zibanejad 46.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 57.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Richards
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Zibanejad
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Richards
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
48.8% (334)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
36.4% (55)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
0.0% (8)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Zibanejad is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Richards
Zibanejad
Home
51.1% (532)
47.3% (203)
Away
48.3% (497)
44.8% (194)
By Period
Richards
Zibanejad
P1
48.6%
44.8%
P2
51.0%
44.8%
P3
49.8%
49.5%
OT
43.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |