Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.5%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 64.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Richards
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Richards
Zibanejad
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Richards
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Richards
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
50.8% (1,073)
-3.6%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
52.5% (118)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.2% (115)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Richards is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Richards shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Richards
Zibanejad
Home
52.0% (123)
52.9% (682)
Away
47.2% (127)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Richards
Zibanejad
P1
56.3%
47.5%
P2
42.0%
52.8%
P3
50.6%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | OT | 03:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |