Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 78.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 86.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 66.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Richards
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Ribeiro
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
1
Richards
Ribeiro
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Richards
Ribeiro
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
43.1% (821)
+6.7%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
48.1% (77)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
0.0% (5)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Richards
Ribeiro
Home
51.1% (532)
45.2% (504)
Away
48.3% (497)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Richards
Ribeiro
P1
48.6%
42.7%
P2
51.0%
45.3%
P3
49.8%
43.0%
OT
43.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | OT | 01:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Brad Richards |