Brad Richards vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Grigorenko 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.5%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 64.8%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 54.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Richards
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richards
Grigorenko
Last 5: Richards 3-2 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Grigorenko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Richards
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Grigorenko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
44.5% (301)
+4.5%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
63.0% (27)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Grigorenko is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Richards
Grigorenko
Home
49.8% (424)
52.5% (141)
Away
46.9% (401)
41.6% (190)
By Period
Richards
Grigorenko
P1
51.3%
45.8%
P2
44.8%
43.0%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |