Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 79.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.9%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Richards
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
Richards
Bjugstad
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
4
Richards
Bjugstad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
8
Richards
Bjugstad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
7
4
Richards
Bjugstad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
55.2% (829)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
44.3% (614)
-3.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Richards
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (2,671)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Richards
Bjugstad
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
50.3%
49.1%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
50.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brad Richards |