Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Bjugstad 44.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 84.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 65.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 71.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Richards
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Richards
Bjugstad
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Richards
Bjugstad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
5
1
Richards
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
37.8% (119)
+13.2%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
60.0% (10)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
66.7% (3)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Richards is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Richards shoots left. Bjugstad is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Richards
Bjugstad
Home
51.9% (397)
40.7% (59)
Away
49.2% (376)
39.7% (73)
By Period
Richards
Bjugstad
P1
47.1%
44.7%
P2
54.2%
38.1%
P3
50.0%
37.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brad Richards |