Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Dwyer 45.6% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 76.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 63.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Richards
Dwyer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Richards
Dwyer
Last 7: Richards 4-3 Dwyer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Dwyer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
0
2
Richards
Dwyer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
31.4% (35)
+19.6%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
50.0% (4)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
50.0% (8)
-8.3%
On even strength, Richards has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Richards is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Richards shoots left. Dwyer is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Richards
Dwyer
Home
51.9% (397)
42.4% (33)
Away
49.2% (376)
21.4% (14)
By Period
Richards
Dwyer
P1
47.1%
33.3%
P2
54.2%
25.0%
P3
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Patrick Dwyer |