Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Marleau 52.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 80.2%
Defensive zone
Marleau 54.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 57.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Richards
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Richards
Marleau
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Richards
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
5
Richards
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
50.9% (350)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
64.8% (54)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
51.4% (142)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Richards
Marleau
Home
49.9% (527)
54.3% (289)
Away
51.4% (463)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Richards
Marleau
P1
49.2%
53.3%
P2
50.7%
53.3%
P3
52.2%
50.5%
OT
45.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 13, 2010 | OT | 03:36 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 18, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |