Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.1%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Sharp 50.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 60.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 72.0%
Neutral zone
Sharp 50.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Richards
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richards
Sharp
Last 6: Richards 3-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Richards
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Sharp
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.4% (1,085)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
50.6% (180)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
40.9% (44)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Richards
Sharp
Home
51.1% (2,671)
53.2% (688)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Richards
Sharp
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
50.3%
49.1%
P3
51.0%
51.7%
OT
50.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Brad Richards |