Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Berglund 46.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 63.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 59.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 59.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Richards
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Richards
Berglund
Last 7: Richards 1-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
4
Richards
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Richards
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
47.3% (792)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
42.5% (134)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
42.4% (33)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Richards
Berglund
Home
49.9% (527)
46.8% (477)
Away
51.4% (463)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Richards
Berglund
P1
49.2%
47.1%
P2
50.7%
46.3%
P3
52.2%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |