Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.6%). Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Berglund 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 79.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 51.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 60.2%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Richards
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Richards
Berglund
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Richards
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Richards
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Richards
Berglund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
48.5% (301)
+0.5%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
50.0% (14)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (14)
-10.0%
On power play, Berglund has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Berglund is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Richards
Berglund
Home
49.8% (424)
53.3% (180)
Away
46.9% (401)
43.0% (149)
By Period
Richards
Berglund
P1
51.3%
52.3%
P2
44.8%
46.8%
P3
49.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |