Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Elias 42.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 26-16 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 94.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 74.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 87.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Richards
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
16
(42 meetings)
26
16
Richards
Elias
Last 10: Richards 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
9
2
Richards
Elias
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
5
7
Richards
Elias
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
12
7
Richards
Elias
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.1%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
48.4% (405)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
36.0% (367)
+5.3%
On even strength, Richards has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Richards
Elias
Home
51.1% (2,671)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Richards
Elias
P1
49.6%
41.1%
P2
50.3%
43.1%
P3
51.0%
43.0%
OT
50.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Brad Richards |