Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Elias 42.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 94.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 77.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 84.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Richards
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Richards
Elias
Last 10: Richards 9-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Elias
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
6
1
Richards
Elias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
40.2% (562)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
49.3% (71)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
34.1% (44)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Richards
Elias
Home
51.1% (532)
39.9% (318)
Away
48.3% (497)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Richards
Elias
P1
48.6%
42.0%
P2
51.0%
38.6%
P3
49.8%
41.1%
OT
43.8%
45.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |