Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Holland 45.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 63.2%
Defensive zone
Holland 80.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 64.4%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Richards
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Holland
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Richards
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Richards
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
45.6% (2,232)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
52.4% (126)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
42.3% (137)
-1.0%
On even strength, Richards has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Richards
Holland
Home
51.1% (2,671)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Richards
Holland
P1
49.6%
46.1%
P2
50.3%
47.3%
P3
51.0%
43.9%
OT
50.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 23, 2013 | OT | 00:37 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Brad Richards |