Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Peverley 58.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 60.7%
Defensive zone
Peverley 85.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 70.4%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Richards
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Richards
Peverley
Last 8: Richards 5-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Peverley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
59.2% (223)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
61.1% (54)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
68.5% (54)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Peverley is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Richards
Peverley
Home
52.2% (668)
54.0% (161)
Away
51.4% (648)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Richards
Peverley
P1
50.1%
65.0%
P2
52.4%
53.0%
P3
52.9%
65.5%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |