Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.0%). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Rakell 49.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.4%
Defensive zone
Rakell 67.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.0%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Richards
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Richards
Rakell
Last 7: Richards 3-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Rakell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Richards
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
50.0% (190)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
0.0% (3)
+53.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
On power play, Richards has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Rakell is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Richards
Rakell
Home
51.1% (532)
46.3% (82)
Away
48.3% (497)
50.9% (112)
By Period
Richards
Rakell
P1
48.6%
49.2%
P2
51.0%
52.9%
P3
49.8%
44.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |