Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Carter 49.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 71.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.3%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Richards
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Richards
Carter
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Richards
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Richards
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.1% (978)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
60.0% (15)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
46.4% (138)
-5.1%
On power play, Carter has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Richards
Carter
Home
51.1% (2,671)
49.0% (506)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Richards
Carter
P1
49.6%
50.5%
P2
50.3%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
OT
50.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |