Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Carter 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Richards
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Carter
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Richards
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Richards
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
50.7% (404)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
57.1% (7)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
50.0% (62)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Richards shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Richards
Carter
Home
49.9% (527)
48.2% (220)
Away
51.4% (463)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Richards
Carter
P1
49.2%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
50.3%
P3
52.2%
48.7%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |