Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 52.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 76.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 66.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Richards
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Getzlaf
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Richards
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
50.6% (1,060)
-1.6%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
48.3% (118)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
54.9% (71)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Richards is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Richards shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Richards
Getzlaf
Home
49.8% (424)
51.9% (622)
Away
46.9% (401)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Richards
Getzlaf
P1
51.3%
49.4%
P2
44.8%
53.1%
P3
49.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |