Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 79.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Richards
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Richards
Johansen
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
4
Richards
Johansen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Richards
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
50.5% (978)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Richards
Johansen
Home
51.1% (2,671)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Richards
Johansen
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
52.8%
OT
50.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |