Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Johansen 51.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 56.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 82.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Richards
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Johansen
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
51.6% (1,127)
-2.6%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
53.6% (267)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.6% (244)
-11.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Richards is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Richards shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Richards
Johansen
Home
49.8% (424)
55.0% (809)
Away
46.9% (401)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Richards
Johansen
P1
51.3%
50.7%
P2
44.8%
54.4%
P3
49.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |